View more on these topics

Specialist market will grow faster than mainstream in 2006, says B&B

Bradford & Bingley believe that 2006 will see the housing market remain strong with the buy-to-let, self-cert and lifetime markets growing faster than the mainstream.

Mark Stevens, managing director of strategy at Bradford & Bingley, says: Economic data throughout much of the 2005 has recorded weak growth and sluggish consumer spending much to the frustration of the beleaguered high street. The cut in base rate in August signified a turn in the interest rate cycle after two years of tightening, however, the jump in inflation and rise in oil prices over recent months has meant the MPC has kept base rate steady at 4.5%.

The housing and mortgage markets have shown good recovery in the second half of the year. Housing transactions and mortgage completions have increased steadily from the lows seen at the start of 2005, boosted by borrowers confidence levels. Mortgage affordability is still good and will continue to be supported by low and stable interest rates and reduced levels of house price inflation.

Stevens adds: The fundamentals that support the housing market should remain strong for the foreseeable future. Unemployment and interest rates are low compared to historic levels and can be expected to remain stable. The housing and mortgage markets are also expected to be stable next year. Relatively buoyant after the downturn at the end of last year, we anticipate this higher level of activity to be maintained and, perhaps, show a further modest increase. We also expect that the specialist lending markets of buy-to-let, self-cert and lifetime will grow faster than the mainstream mortgage market.

Bradford & Bingley predicts there will be a 0.25% cut in base rate in the first half of next year which will further stimulate activity. It considers that the only reason for the Bank of England to raise interest rates again would be if the economy, and the housing market in particular, were to prove much more robust than expected.

Stevens says: This stability in the market is reflected in our forecasts for house prices which we predict will end 2006 around 2% to 3% higher than they are now.

Recommended

Small firms need more understanding

While journalists usually dislike stating the obvious in stories, last week was a notable exception. The item in question quoted research suggesting small firms inhabit a more worrying and burdensome business environment than ever before.

Affordability calculations should be more transparent

From Colin Snowdon I read with interest Richard Griffiths’ column entitled ‘Lenders’ window of opportunity’ (Mortgage Strategy November 28), in which he says lenders should make their affordability calculations available to sourcing systems. I agree wholeheartedly. In fact, I would go a step further and say lenders not only need to make clear to sourcing […]

Internet Insite

Mortgage Strategy’s weekly guide to what’s hot and what’s not on the web. Kevin Paterson takes a look at lender websites, working his way from A to Z

CML backs home ownership plans

The Council of Mortgage Lenders has pledged its support to the government’s plans to extend home ownership. In his introduction to the CML annual conference, Stuart Bernau, chairman of the CML and commercial and communications director at Nationwide, told listeners that targeted intervention is welcome but only if it delivers real benefits to consumers. These […]

Newsletter

News and expert analysis straight to your inbox

Sign up