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Countrywide: House prices to fall 1% in 2017


UK house prices will fall 1 per cent next year due to post-Brexit economic fallout, according to new research from Countrywide.

The firm says house price growth will weaken in the second half of 2016 in all regions except Scotland.

House prices will only rise 2 per cent this year, compared to growth of 6.5 per cent in 2015 and 8.5 per cent in 2014.

Countrywide predicts that the housing market will be hit by falling consumer confidence, reduced household spending and increasing unemployment levels.

High stamp duty will also play a part, according to Countrywide.

A Countrywide statement says: “The vote to leave the European Union has unsettled the UK economy as uncertainty surrounding the arrangements for decoupling from the EU and the effect this will have on trade and future economic growth.”

However, the firm says house prices will rise towards the end of 2017 at a rate of 2 per cent, and that this will continue into 2018.

Prime property prices in central London will fall 6 per cent this year, the firm predicts.

Greater London prices will fall 1.25 per cent and then rise 2 per cent in 2017.

Countrywide chief economist Fionnuala Earley says: “Forecasts in the current environment are trickier than ever as the vote to leave the EU has thrown up many risks. Our central view is that the economy will avoid a hard landing.

“However, the weaker prospects for confidence, household incomes and the labour market mean that we do expect some modest falls in house prices.”



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  • SOX 22nd August 2016 at 10:12 am

    What utter tosh! What this report is basically saying then is than house prices are expected to increase by 1% next year! How can anyone possibly predict this………

  • John Lacy 22nd August 2016 at 9:43 am

    I wish that Countrywide et al would shut up and let the market do what it’s going to do without trying to second-guess what is going to happen (and perhaps try to influence it).
    I’ve seen a lot smarter set ups than Countrywide get it badly wrong over the lat 40 odd years and can’t believe that sensible publications as Mortgage Strategy give such trash an airing.